Alianza Lima vs. Atletico Grau Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 2 October 2025

The battle between Alianza Lima and Atletico Grau is set for 2 October 2025 in the Primera Division, where both teams strive to climb the league standings. Alianza Lima, currently 6th, holds a slight advantage given their solid home performances and sits one point ahead of Atletico Grau in the 9th position.

Alianza Lima, coached by Néstor Gorosito, have shown decent form at home, scoring an average of 1.80 goals in their last five games. However, they will be missing key players due to suspensions and injuries, which may present a challenge. Atletico Grau, under Ángel Comizzo, maintains a robust defense, boasting two clean sheets in their last five matches.

Given Alianza Lima’s impressive head-to-head record and Atletico Grau’s fluctuating away form, our match tip leans toward a home win for Alianza Lima. With the game’s importance in the battle for higher league positions, expect a highly competitive match.

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Match Tips:

• Recommended bet: Home Win for Alianza Lima.
• Alianza Lima shows strong home performance with a solid league standing.
• Alianza Lima has an advantage in head-to-head matches against Atletico Grau.

Match Facts:

• Atletico Grau has not lost in 4 consecutive matches in this tournament.
• Less than 2.5 goals have been scored in 75% of the matches between these teams over the past 5 seasons.
• Alianza Lima’s Jose Paolo Guerrero is the top scorer for his team this season with 8 goals.

Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau Prediction & Betting tip

Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Home Win	1.50

Best Bet Recommendation: Home Win for Alianza Lima

Reasoning:

1. Strong Home Performance: Alianza Lima has a solid home record and stands higher in the league (6th) compared to Atletico Grau (9th). Their ability to secure clean sheets in 54% of their matches highlights their defensive strength at home.
2. Scoring Capability: Alianza Lima has scored 38 goals this season, with 11 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a potent attack. This is complemented by their ability to maintain a positive goal difference.
3. Head-to-Head Advantage: In their last 5 meetings, Alianza Lima has won twice and drawn once against Atletico Grau, showcasing a competitive edge in direct encounters.

Given these factors, a home win for Alianza Lima is the most statistically supported outcome.

Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau Odds

Heading into this matchup, Alianza Lima is marked as the bookmaker’s favourite with odds of 1.50 for a home win. The draw is set at 3.88, while an away win for Atletico Grau stands at higher odds of 5.96. Given the difference in odds, it’s clear that bookies see Alianza Lima as the more likely victor, enhancing the interest in their home performance and head-to-head advantage.

Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Alianza Lima	1.50
Draw	3.88
Atletico Grau	5.96

With Alianza Lima’s strong home form and favourable head-to-head record, the odds reflect a confident outlook for a home win. Atletico Grau’s odds indicate that while they can provide a challenge, they are seen as the underdogs in this encounter.

Alianza Lima Team Analysis

Alianza Lima Recent Performance

Alianza Lima’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five matches resulting in two losses, one draw, and two wins. They suffered a 2-1 defeat against Cienciano and previously lost by the same scoreline to Universidad de Chile in the Copa Sudamericana. Their standout performance came with a 4-0 victory over Comerciantes Unidos.

Despite the setbacks, Alianza Lima’s ability to score an average of 1.80 goals in their last five games is a positive sign. Moreover, their defensive strength, noted by achieving two clean sheets during this period, highlights their resilience at the back.

Overall, the team’s current form reflects their fluctuating outcomes, but their scoring capability and solid defensive displays at home give them a fighting chance to secure a win against Atletico Grau.

Alianza Lima Key Players

Alianza Lima’s attacking prowess will pivot significantly on the performance of their top scorer, Kevin Quevedo, who has notched up 2 goals this season. In the midfield, the experienced Pedro Aquino will be crucial in both defensive and offensive transitions.

A notable showdown will likely emerge between Quevedo and Atletico Grau’s steady defender, Daniel Franco. Additionally, set pieces could prove decisive, with Quevedo and Alan Cantero expected to challenge Atletico Grau’s goalkeeper, Patricio Alvarez.

Expected lineup for Alianza Lima:

• Goalkeeper: Guillermo Viscarra
• Defenders: Marco Huaman, Josue Estrada, Gianfranco Chavez, Miguel Trauco
• Midfielders: Piero Cari, Pedro Aquino, Pablo Ceppelini
• Attackers: Kevin Quevedo, Alan Cantero, Gaspar Gentile

With these key players in form, Alianza Lima will aim to translate their individual brilliance into a collective win.

Alianza Lima Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Lima faces a few significant absences due to suspensions and injuries, which could impact their performance against Atletico Grau. Two key players, Eryc Castillo and Carlos Zambrano, are suspended due to red card offences and will miss this match. Castillo’s dynamism on the wing and Zambrano’s defensive stability will be sorely missed.

Additionally, the team is dealing with injuries. Pablo Lavandeira is sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury and is not expected back until late December 2025. Juan Delgado, also contending with a broken nose, remains doubtful for this clash.

These absences will require coach Néstor Gorosito to shuffle his starting eleven, potentially affecting the team’s cohesion and defensive solidity. Nevertheless, Alianza Lima’s depth could compensate for these losses.

Alianza Lima Tactics and Formation

Heading into the fixture against Atletico Grau, Alianza Lima is expected to adopt a 4-3-3 formation, implementing an aggressive and balanced approach.

Alianza Lima Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Kevin Quevedo
• Midfield Trio: Piero Cari, Pedro Aquino, Pablo Ceppelini
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: High press and quick counter-attacks, especially effective during the 30-45 minute interval.

In attack, Quevedo will be vital for breaking down Atletico Grau’s defence, supported by the dynamic Gaspar Gentile and Alan Cantero. The midfield trio will ensure a firm control of the centre of the park, with Aquino playing a pivotal role in transitions. With a few key absences, Alianza Lima’s depth will be tested, but their home form and tactical discipline remain critical assets in securing a positive result.

Atletico Grau Team Analysis

Atletico Grau Recent Performance

Atletico Grau has shown a promising uptick in form with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Notable victories include a 3-1 triumph over Sport Huancayo and solid 2-0 wins against both Alianza Universidad and Asociacion Deportiva Tarma. Their only defeat came in a closely contested match against Cienciano.

During this period, Atletico Grau has managed to score an average of 1.60 goals per game and secured two clean sheets, demonstrating both offensive and defensive strengths. This recent consistency could provide a boost for their upcoming fixture against Alianza Lima.

While they sit in the 9th position, just a point shy of their upcoming opponents, their recent form will give them confidence to challenge Alianza Lima on this occasion.

Atletico Grau Key Players

Atletico Grau’s attack will be spearheaded by their top scorer, Tomas Sandoval, who has already netted 3 goals this season. His ability in front of goal will be crucial in breaking through Alianza Lima’s defense. In midfield, players like Neri Bandiera and Diego Soto will be instrumental in driving the team forward and maintaining possession.

A key individual battle to watch will be Sandoval against Alianza Lima’s dependable defender, Gianfranco Chavez. The outcome of this duel could significantly impact the game.

Expected lineup for Atletico Grau:

• Goalkeeper: Patricio Alvarez
• Defenders: Jeremy Rostaing, Rodrigo Tapia, Daniel Franco, Jose Bolivar
• Midfielders: Diego Soto, Rafael Guarderas, Juan Garro, Neri Bandiera, Paulo de la Cruz
• Attackers: Tomas Sandoval

With these key players, Atletico Grau will look to leverage their recent form and tactical discipline to potentially upset Alianza Lima.

Atletico Grau Suspensions & Injuries

Atletico Grau heads into this match without any reported suspensions or injuries, which is a significant advantage. The availability of their full squad allows coach Ángel Comizzo to field his strongest lineup and stick to his preferred tactics without any forced changes.

This full-strength side might provide them with the extra edge needed to challenge Alianza Lima, especially given the recent positive form they’ve shown. With all key players fit and ready, Atletico Grau aims to deliver a balanced performance that capitalizes on their recent momentum.

Atletico Grau Tactics and Formation

For the upcoming match against Alianza Lima, Atletico Grau is expected to maintain their typical 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on a balanced approach.

Atletico Grau Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Tomas Sandoval
• Midfield Dynamics: Diego Soto and Rafael Guarderas providing a solid defensive midfield base, with Neri Bandiera enhancing the attack.
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in their last five games emphasize their solidity at the back.
• Notable Strategy: Effective use of wing play and quick transitions, particularly during the 61-75 minute interval.

With Tomas Sandoval leading the attack, Atletico Grau will rely on speed on the flanks from Paulo de la Cruz and Juan Garro, hoping to exploit any gaps in Alianza Lima’s defense. Their disciplined midfield and robust defense will aim to frustrate Alianza Lima, making the game an intriguing tactical contest.

Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau Head-to-Head Statistics

In the past five head-to-head encounters between Alianza Lima and Atletico Grau, Alianza Lima has displayed a slightly stronger record. They have secured two wins, two draws, and suffered only one loss.

Last 5 Meetings:

• 2025-05-10: Atletico Grau 1-1 Alianza Lima
• 2024-09-18: Atletico Grau 1-0 Alianza Lima
• 2024-04-15: Alianza Lima 2-0 Atletico Grau
• 2023-06-24: Alianza Lima 2-0 Atletico Grau
• 2023-03-26: Atletico Grau 1-2 Alianza Lima

Key Takeaways:

• Alianza Lima Victories: 2 wins.
• Atletico Grau Victories: 1 win.
• Draws: 2 matches ended in draws.
• Goals Scored Trends: Less than 2.5 goals scored in 75% of their matchups in the last five seasons.

Overall, Alianza Lima tends to have the upper hand in these fixtures, and their scoring consistency often puts them in a favorable position when facing Atletico Grau.

Odds accurate as of 30 September 2025 02:34, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.