Comerciantes Unidos vs. Alianza Universidad Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 23 August 2025

The Primera Division clash on the 23rd of August sees Comerciantes Unidos host Alianza Universidad in a match that promises intrigue despite both sides being lower in the standings. Comerciantes Unidos sit in 13th place with 5 points, while Alianza Universidad find themselves in 16th with just 4 points.

Both teams have struggled for form recently, with Comerciantes Unidos only securing one win in their last five outings (LDLDW) and Alianza Universidad similarly winning just once (LLWLD). However, Comerciantes Unidos have a psychological advantage, having dominated recent encounters against Alianza Universidad, winning four out of the last five meetings.

The home side is tipped by bookmakers to take the win at odds of 2.31, a sentiment supported by their slightly better form and higher goal-scoring rate this season. This matchup could be pivotal for both teams as they aim to climb the standings.

In terms of player performances, keep an eye on Matias Sen for the home side and Yorleys Mena Palacios for the visitors, as both have been key scorers so far. Given the recent history and current form, a home win for Comerciantes Unidos appears a solid bet.

Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Universidad Prediction & Betting tip

Best Bet Recommendation: Home Win for Comerciantes Unidos

Reasoning:

1. Head-to-Head Dominance: Comerciantes Unidos have won 4 out of the last 5 encounters against Alianza Universidad, indicating a strong psychological and tactical advantage.
2. Home Advantage: Playing at home, Comerciantes Unidos are more likely to perform well, as reflected in the odds of 2.31 for a home win.
3. Current Form Comparison: While both teams have struggled recently, Comerciantes Unidos have managed a win and two draws in their last five matches, slightly better than Alianza Universidad’s single win and draw.

Given these factors, a Home Win for Comerciantes Unidos is the most supported outcome.

Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Universidad Odds

Looking at the odds for Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Universidad, it’s clear that the bookmakers favour a home win. Here’s how the key bets line up:

Given Comerciantes Unidos’ stronger head-to-head record and their slight edge in current form, it makes sense that they are tipped to win. Their home advantage and ability to score more goals compared to Alianza Universidad further bolster this prediction.

So, if you’re considering where to place your bet, a win for Comerciantes Unidos at odds of 2.31 offers a solid opportunity.

Comerciantes Unidos Team Analysis

Comerciantes Unidos Recent Performance

Comerciantes Unidos’ recent form has been a mixed bag, encapsulated by their last five results: a win, two draws, and two losses (LDLDW). This sequence highlights their struggle for consistency as they sit 13th in the standings with 5 points.

Key statistics show they have scored an average of 1.20 goals per match in the last five games, while only managing to keep one clean sheet. Defensively, they need to tighten up, conceding an average of 1.7 goals over the season.

Despite these challenges, their recent victory against Atletico Grau should give them a boost heading into this fixture. With players like Matias Sen, their top scorer with 2 goals, they’ll be looking to capitalize on their home advantage.

Comerciantes Unidos Key Players

Matias Sen is definitely the standout player for Comerciantes Unidos, being their top scorer with 2 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net makes him a key figure in their attack and a player Alianza Universidad will need to keep a close eye on.

Another crucial player is their goalkeeper, Álvaro Villete, who will be looking to improve on their single clean sheet in the last five games.

Additionally, the midfield trio of Keyvin Paico, Julián Marchioni, and Mathias Carpio play a pivotal role in both defending and creating scoring opportunities.

Expected lineup for Comerciantes Unidos:

• Goalkeeper: Álvaro Villete
• Defenders: Williams Guzmán, Yordi Vilchez, Nahuel Tecilla, Paolo Méndez
• Midfielders: José Marina, Pablo Cárdenas, Keyvin Paico, Julián Marchioni, Mathias Carpio
• Center forward: Matias Sen

Comerciantes Unidos Suspensions & Injuries

At this point, Comerciantes Unidos have a fortunate clean bill of health with no suspensions or injuries to contend with. This availability could be crucial as they look to secure a much-needed win.

Having a full squad means that Coach Claudio Biaggio can deploy his strongest lineup, giving them the best chance to capitalize on their home advantage. Players like Matias Sen and Álvaro Villete, who are pivotal to the team, will be eager to make their mark without the team’s performance being hampered by absences. This continuity could provide the stability Comerciantes Unidos need to grab all three points against Alianza Universidad.

Comerciantes Unidos Tactics and Formation

Comerciantes Unidos Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-5-1
• Key Forward: Matias Sen
• Midfield Trio: José Marina, Pablo Cárdenas, Keyvin Paico
• Defensive Strength: Conceded 1.7 goals per match on average

The team’s 4-5-1 formation focuses on a strong midfield presence to control the game and transition seamlessly between defense and attack. Matias Sen will be pivotal up front, supported by a dynamic midfield led by Paico and Carpio, who are tasked with both defending and creating opportunities.

Given their average goal-conceding rate, they’ll need to stay alert, especially in the final 15 minutes where they’ve shown vulnerability. Stability across the back line and organized midfield play will be key to capitalizing on their home advantage and securing the win against Alianza Universidad.

Alianza Universidad Team Analysis

Alianza Universidad Recent Performance

In their last five matches, Alianza Universidad have struggled to find consistency, as indicated by a run of two losses, one win, and two draws (LLWLD). The team has shown some flashes of quality, notably in their 3-0 away victory over Asociacion Deportiva Tarma, but they’ve also been vulnerable defensively and have only managed one clean sheet in their last five outings.

On average, they have scored 1.00 goals per match over this period, which is slightly lower than their hosts. Their defensive frailties are further highlighted by conceding a significant number of goals, mostly in the final 15 minutes of games.

As they head into this fixture, they sit 16th in the standings with 4 points, making this match crucial for climbing the table. Despite their issues, they will be hoping to pull off a surprise against Comerciantes Unidos.

Alianza Universidad Key Players

Yorleys Mena Palacios stands out as the top scorer for Alianza Universidad with 3 goals this season. His goal-scoring prowess will be crucial in breaking down Comerciantes Unidos’ defense. Partnering him upfront is Jeremy Canela, whose agility and creativity could also pose a threat.

In midfield, Marcos Lliuya and Ray Gomez are vital players, contributing both defensively and offensively. Their ability to transition quickly and control the tempo will be key to Alianza Universidad’s strategy.

Expected lineup for Alianza Universidad:

• Goalkeeper: Italo Espinoza
• Defenders: Aldair Perleche, Carlos Ascues, Benjamín Ampuero, Otavio Gut
• Midfielders: Marcos Lliuya, Jeremy Canela, Jack Durán, Ray Gomez, Omar Vásquez
• Center forward: Yorleys Mena Palacios

Alianza Universidad Suspensions & Injuries

Heading into this matchup, Alianza Universidad have no reported suspensions or injuries. This is good news for Coach Roberto Mosquera, as he has the luxury of fielding his strongest lineup. Having a full squad means they can aim to rectify their recent form and put in a more coordinated and effective performance.

With key players like Yorleys Mena Palacios and Marcos Lliuya fully fit, Alianza Universidad will hope to exploit any weaknesses in Comerciantes Unidos’ defense. This continuity and the absence of enforced changes can potentially provide the stability needed to upset the odds and secure a much-needed win.

Alianza Universidad Tactics and Formation

Alianza Universidad Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Yorleys Mena Palacios
• Midfield Duo: Marcos Lliuya, Jeremy Canela
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games

Alianza Universidad adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation aiming to maintain a balanced approach between defense and attack. Yorleys Mena Palacios is their focal point up front, supported by an attacking midfield comprising Ray Gomez, Jack Durán, and Omar Vásquez.

Their defensive setup involves a back four with Carlos Ascues and Benjamín Ampuero at the heart of defense. Marcos Lliuya and Jeremy Canela will be vital in the double pivot role, providing both defensive cover and aiding transitions to attack.

The team needs to tighten up defensively to mitigate their tendency to concede late goals, particularly in the final 15 minutes. A more organized and cohesive performance can help them to secure a positive result on the road.

Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Universidad Head-to-Head Statistics

Breaking down the last five encounters between Comerciantes Unidos and Alianza Universidad reveals a significant tilt in favour of the home side. Comerciantes Unidos have emerged victorious in four out of these five matches, while one game ended in a stalemate.

Here’s a quick recap:

• 2025-04-06: Alianza Universidad 0 – 2 Comerciantes Unidos (Liga 1 Apertura)
• 2023-08-31: Comerciantes Unidos 0 – 0 Alianza Universidad (Liga 2)
• 2023-06-06: Alianza Universidad 0 – 3 Comerciantes Unidos (Liga 2)
• 2022-09-04: Comerciantes Unidos 3 – 1 Alianza Universidad (Liga 2 Clausura)
• 2022-06-04: Alianza Universidad 1 – 2 Comerciantes Unidos (Liga 2 Apertura)

Comerciantes Unidos have consistently showcased their superiority, not just defensively but also in attack. The psychological edge from these wins could play a role in their tactics this time around.

This historical dominance suggests that a home win remains a strong possibility.

Odds accurate as of 21.08.2025 21:33, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.