Bahia vs. Palmeiras Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 28 September 2025

The 25th round of Serie A brings us an exciting clash between Bahia and Palmeiras. Bahia, sitting in 6th place with 37 points, is in desperate need of a win to halt their four-game winless streak and maintain their position in the top six. Facing them is Palmeiras, a formidable opponent currently in 3rd place with 49 points, boasting a strong attacking form and fresh off a triumphant 3-1 victory over River Plate in the Copa Libertadores.

Bahia will be without key players such as Jean Lucas, suspended after a controversial VAR decision, and injured stars Erick Pulga and Ademir. Despite these challenges, coach Rogério Ceni’s side has shown resilience, scoring in 83% of their matches this season.

Palmeiras, the bookmaker favourite, has been dominant on the road with a 76.67% success rate in away games. With the likes of Vitor Roque leading the attack, they have scored in every away match this season.

Given Palmeiras’ recent form and Bahia’s injury woes, our recommended bet is for Palmeiras to win. This match is crucial for both teams as they chase their respective season goals—Bahia aiming for a top-six finish and Palmeiras vying for the title.

Bahia vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips

• Palmeiras’ recent form: They’ve been in excellent shape, winning four of their last five matches and scoring an impressive 12 goals.
• Bahia’s struggles: With key players injured and a four-match winless streak, Bahia has faced significant challenges recently.
• Away performance: Palmeiras has been dominant on the road, boasting a 76.67% success rate in away games this season.

Given Palmeiras’ current form and dominant away record, coupled with Bahia’s injury woes and recent struggles, backing Palmeiras to win is a sound bet. This matchup holds significant importance as both teams chase crucial points to achieve their season objectives.

Bahia vs Palmeiras Odds

This upcoming match between Bahia and Palmeiras presents some intriguing betting opportunities. Given the form and standings of both teams, the odds reflect a favourable scenario for bettors.

Palmeiras is the bookmaker favourite, with odds of 2.11 for an away win, reflecting their strong form and impressive away performance. Bahia, on the other hand, are the underdogs at 3.44, largely due to their recent struggles and injury woes.

A draw sits at 3.23, indicating a competitive fixture despite Palmeiras’ edge. Considering Palmeiras’ attacking prowess and Bahia’s defensive challenges, betting on Palmeiras offers a balanced risk-reward scenario.

Bahia Team Analysis

Bahia Recent Performance WLLDL

Bahia’s recent form has been far from impressive, with a winless streak extending to four matches. Their last five fixtures have seen them lose 3-1 to Vasco da Gama, draw 1-1 with Ceará, and suffer defeats to Cruzeiro and Fluminense, interspersed by a commanding 5-0 win against Confianca in the Copa do Nordeste.

Despite these struggles, Bahia has managed to score in seven consecutive matches in Serie A, with an average of 1.60 goals per game over their last five league outings. However, they’ve kept just one clean sheet in these encounters, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Key injuries to players like Erick Pulga and Ademir Santos have compounded their challenges, making it tough for coach Rogério Ceni to find consistency and form.

Maintaining their 6th place standing with 37 points, Bahia needs better results to stay in contention for a top-six finish.

Bahia Key Players

Bahia’s key player to watch is Luciano Juba, their top scorer with five goals this season. Juba’s ability to influence the game from the left-back position will be crucial, especially if he can replicate his attacking form. Midfielder Everton Ribeiro is another significant figure, offering creativity and experience in the middle of the park.

With injuries sidelining several key players like Erick Pulga and Ademir Santos, Bahia will rely heavily on experienced figures in the squad. The absence of Jean Lucas due to suspension will be felt, making it imperative for others to step up.

Expected lineup for Bahia:

• Goalkeeper: Ronaldo
• Defenders: Gilberto, Gabriel Xavier, Santi Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba
• Midfielders: Rezende, Nicolás Acevedo, Everton Ribeiro
• Attackers: Michel Araújo, Willian Jose, Mateo Sanabria

Individual battles, such as Everton Ribeiro against Palmeiras’ Andreas Pereira, will be pivotal in determining the outcome of this game.

Bahia Suspensions & Injuries

Bahia are facing considerable challenges with several key players sidelined due to injuries. Erick Pulga and Ademir Santos, both crucial for their attacking play, are out with thigh injuries and are doubtful for the upcoming match. Kanu is expected to return from a calf injury in late November, while Jean Lucas will miss the game due to a red card suspension received in a match against Vasco.

Additionally, players like Erick Carvalho, Caio Alexandre, and João Paulo are battling thigh and knee injuries with potential returns scheduled for early October. David Duarte is also nursing a thigh injury, creating a significant gap in their defensive lineup. These absences could critically impact Bahia’s performance and game plan, making it harder to secure the vital points they need.

Bahia Tactics and Formation

Bahia Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Willian Jose
• Midfield Trio: Rezende, Nicolás Acevedo, Everton Ribeiro
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Effective in the first half, but often concedes late goals in the 76-90 minute interval.

Under coach Rogério Ceni, Bahia has utilized a 4-3-3 formation in recent matches, with Willian Jose leading the attack. The midfield trio of Rezende, Nicolás Acevedo, and Everton Ribeiro provide both defensive cover and creative outlets.

Although they have shown resilience by scoring in 83% of their matches, their defensive vulnerabilities are evident with only one clean sheet in the last five games. Bahia’s tendency to concede late goals has been a recurring issue, highlighting the importance of maintaining focus until the final whistle.

Palmeiras Team Analysis

Palmeiras Recent Performance DWWWW

Palmeiras has been on a remarkable run, showcasing their formidable form in both national and continental competitions. Their last five matches highlight this strength, with wins against River Plate (3-1 and 2-1), Fortaleza (4-1), and Internacional (4-1), followed by a draw with Corinthians (1-1).

Over this period, Palmeiras have displayed impressive attacking prowess, averaging 2.80 goals per game, and defensively, they have yet to register a clean sheet, indicating a balanced but slightly attack-heavy approach. Key injuries to Figueiredo and Paulinho haven’t slowed their progress, thanks to strong depth in the squad.

These consistent performances have kept Palmeiras firmly in 3rd place in the league with 49 points, only two points behind Cruzeiro and four from the top, reinforcing their title aspirations.

Palmeiras Key Players

Palmeiras boasts a squad filled with talent, anchored by their top scorer Vitor Roque, who has netted eight goals this season. His ability to consistently find the back of the net will be crucial in this fixture. Midfielder Andreas Pereira has also been pivotal, contributing both goals and assists, while his experience in controlling the midfield could create issues for Bahia.

The defensive lineup, led by Murilo Cerqueira, will need to step up given the team’s struggle to keep clean sheets recently. The expected lineup also includes key players like Weverton in goal and Raphael Veiga, who brings creativity to the midfield.

Expected lineup for Palmeiras:

• Goalkeeper: Weverton
• Defenders: Agustin Giay, Bruno Fuchs, Murilo Cerqueira, Jefte
• Midfielders: Emiliano Martínez, Andreas Pereira, Ramón Sosa, Raphael Veiga, Facundo Torres
• Forward: Vitor Roque

Watch for individual battles like Vitor Roque facing off against Gabriel Xavier, and Andreas Pereira against Everton Ribeiro, which could shape the match’s outcome.

Palmeiras Suspensions & Injuries

Palmeiras has a couple of key injuries that could impact their squad depth and performance. Figueiredo is out for the season with a cruciate ligament injury, while Paulinho is sidelined with a shin injury, also expected to be out for the rest of the season. These long-term absences mean that Palmeiras will need to rely on their squad depth, especially in the defensive and midfield areas.

The good news for Palmeiras is that they don’t have any suspensions heading into this match, allowing coach Abel Ferreira to field his strongest available lineup. Despite the injuries, the consistency in their recent performances suggests they’re well-equipped to handle these challenges.

Palmeiras Tactics and Formation

Palmeiras Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Vitor Roque
• Midfield Trio: Emiliano Martínez, Andreas Pereira, Raphael Veiga
• Defensive Strength: Although they haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last five games, their defensive unit is still robust and resilient.
• Notable Strategy: Strong focus on offensive plays, particularly effective in creating goal-scoring opportunities through rapid counter-attacks and set-pieces.

Under coach Abel Ferreira, Palmeiras employs a 4-2-3-1 formation that maximizes their attacking potential while maintaining a solid defensive structure. Vitor Roque, their top scorer, spearheads the attack, supported by creative midfielders like Raphael Veiga and Andreas Pereira. The double pivot of Martinez and Pereira adds both defensive cover and playmaking abilities.

Palmeiras’ strategy often involves high-tempo play and exploiting the opposition’s defensive lapses, making them particularly dangerous in transition.

Bahia vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head Statistics

In the last five encounters between Bahia and Palmeiras, the head-to-head record shows a closely contested rivalry. Palmeiras has edged out Bahia in three of these matches, while Bahia has triumphed twice.

1. 2025-04-27, Serie A: Palmeiras 0 – 1 Bahia – Bahia managed a narrow away win.
2. 2024-11-20, Serie A: Bahia 1 – 2 Palmeiras – Palmeiras secured a victory on the road.
3. 2024-07-07, Serie A: Palmeiras 2 – 0 Bahia – A solid home victory for Palmeiras.
4. 2023-10-28, Serie A: Palmeiras 1 – 0 Bahia – Another close win for Palmeiras.
5. 2023-06-22, Serie A: Bahia 1 – 0 Palmeiras – Bahia clinched a home victory.

Palmeiras has had the upper hand more often, but Bahia has shown they can compete, making this matchup intriguing. Expect a competitive game, with Palmeiras looking to continue their winning trend and Bahia aiming to break their recent poor form.

As probabilidades são precisas a partir de 26.09.2025 19:02 e estão sujeitas a alterações. Por favor, verifique sempre as probabilidades antes de fazer as suas apostas com qualquer bookmaker.