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As we head into the 10th round of the Primera Division, Alianza Atletico will play host to Ayacucho FC on 22 September 2025 at 21:00. Despite both teams struggling at the lower end of the table with identical points, this match carries significant weight for their respective campaigns.
Alianza Atletico, currently in 15th place, have been performing below par with only 0.40 average goals scored in their last 5 games. Their defense, however, stands relatively firm with 2 clean sheets in the same period. Crucially, top scorer Agustin Graneros will be pivotal up front. On the flip side, Ayacucho FC in 16th place also mirrors this low-scoring form, making for a potentially tight game.
Both teams have shown solid defensive abilities recently and scored sparingly, making a low-scoring affair likely. With identical points and parallel form, we could see a balanced contest. Given these insights, one might consider Ayacucho FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) as a sensible bet.
Expect a close game with a highly contested midfield battle!
Given the current form and identical points of both teams, we recommend betting on Ayacucho FC with an Asian Handicap of +1.5. This market signals that Ayacucho FC can either win, draw, or lose by a single goal, and the bet will still be successful.
Alianza Atletico vs Ayacucho FC Prediction | |
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Betting tip | Odds |
Ayacucho FC +1.50 (AH) | 1.47 |
Considering these factors, this bet offers valuable safety with three possible positive outcomes.
The odds for this match between Alianza Atletico and Ayacucho FC heavily favor the home team. However, considering the teams’ similar standings and recent performances, there’s potential value in other markets, particularly given their defensive records and low-scoring tendencies.
Alianza Atletico vs Ayacucho FC Betting Odds | |
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Bet | Odds |
Alianza Atletico | 1.47 |
Draw | 3.93 |
Ayacucho FC | 6.35 |
The odds reflect Alianza Atletico as the favorites despite their recent poor form. Nonetheless, with both teams struggling in the league and statistically low goal-scoring, the draw or a handicap on Ayacucho FC provides intriguing alternative options.
Recent Form: LWLLD
Alianza Atletico’s recent form has been underwhelming, with just one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. Their only victory came against CD UT Cajamarca with a 2-0 scoreline. However, they have struggled to find the back of the net, averaging only 0.40 goals per game over this period.
Defensively, they’ve managed to keep two clean sheets, but their scoring woes remain a significant concern.
Their recent lack of goals, combined with a mostly defensive track record, suggests a need for an improved offensive strategy heading into their clash against Ayacucho FC.
Alianza Atletico will be banking on their top scorer, Agustin Graneros, who has netted just one goal this season to provide the attacking spark needed. Graneros will likely play alongside Rolando Díaz in the forward line, with the duo poised to challenge Ayacucho FC’s defenders head-on.
The midfield will be orchestrated by Hernan Lupu, who will look to control the tempo and create opportunities for the forwards. In defense, Horacio Benincasa and Jose Villegas have been solid, contributing to the team’s recent clean sheets.
Expected lineup for Alianza Atletico:
The battle between Graneros and Ayacucho’s defensive line, led by Jonathan Bilbao and Brackson Leon, will be crucial in determining the match’s outcome.
Alianza Atletico will have to cope without Guillermo Larios for this match as he is suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards. His absence in the attack could hamper their already struggling offensive lineup, particularly since he has been a regular feature in their recent fixtures.
Fortunately, there are no reported injuries in the squad, which means coach Gerardo Ameli will have the full roster, minus Larios, at his disposal.
The onus will be on the rest of the attacking lineup, especially Graneros and Díaz, to pick up the slack and find a breakthrough against Ayacucho FC’s defense.
Alianza Atletico Tactical Breakdown:
Alianza Atletico’s formation typically prioritizes defense, aiming to contain opposition attacks and strike on the break. With key players like Graneros and Díaz up front, their hope lies in seizing limited scoring opportunities. The absence of suspended Guillermo Larios might alter their offensive rhythm, placing more reliance on the midfield trio to supply forward momentum.
Recent Form: LLWL
Ayacucho FC’s recent run of form has been inconsistent, with two losses, one win, and one draw in their last five matches. Their sole victory came against CD UT Cajamarca with a 1-0 scoreline, showcasing their ability to grind out results against mid-table opponents.
Defensively, Ayacucho FC has managed two clean sheets in their last five games, mirroring the tight defensive setup of their upcoming opponents, Alianza Atletico. However, they have also struggled offensively, averaging just 0.40 goals per game in this period, with their forwards finding it hard to convert chances.
Given these stats, Ayacucho FC will need to focus on improving their goal-scoring efficiency while maintaining their defensive discipline to secure valuable points in this encounter.
Ayacucho FC will be looking to their top scorer, Maximiliano Perez, who has netted two goals this season and is crucial for their attacking prospects. Franco Caballero will partner Perez in the forward line, adding another dimension to their offense.
In midfield, Derlis Orue and Pedro Peral will be tasked with disrupting Alianza Atletico’s play and providing support to the forwards. Defensively, Jonathan Bilbao, alongside Brackson Leon, will aim to maintain their recent clean sheet form.
Expected lineup for Ayacucho FC:
Key battles will include Perez against the backline of Alianza Atletico, with Bilbao and León tasked with nullifying any threat from Graneros and Díaz.
Ayacucho FC will be missing Gustavo Loayza due to a foot injury. His return is doubtful, creating a potential gap in their midfield or defensive lineup depending on where coach Sergio Castellanos prefers to deploy him.
Fortunately, there are no reported suspensions in the squad, allowing Castellanos to field a relatively stable lineup. However, Loayza’s absence might necessitate tactical adjustments to ensure solidity, especially against a side keen on exploiting any weakness.
This absence places additional emphasis on players like Kenyi Barrios and Derlis Orue to step up and fill the void, ensuring that the team remains competitive against Alianza Atletico.
Ayacucho FC Tactical Breakdown:
Ayacucho FC’s tactical approach hinges on a solid 4-2-3-1 formation, providing both defensive stability and attacking options. Their midfield is built around the duo of Orue and Peral, who not only break up opposition play but also support the attacking trio. Up front, Perez will spearhead the attack, looking to exploit any defensive lapses by Alianza Atletico.
Despite their low-scoring form, Ayacucho FC’s resilience in defense could prove critical in this match. Their ability to hold strong at the back and seize counter-attacking opportunities will likely define their chances of securing points.
In their last five meetings, Alianza Atletico and Ayacucho FC have seen tightly contested matchups, with neither team consistently dominating. Alianza Atletico holds a slight edge with three wins compared to Ayacucho FC’s one, and one match ending in a draw.
These encounters have often been low-scoring affairs, with less than 2.5 goals in 80% of their past meetings over the last five seasons. This trend suggests that we might be in for another tight and low-scoring match.
Odds accurate as of 20.09.2025 21:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.