Alianza Lima vs. Comerciantes Unidos Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 22 September 2025

As we gear up for the 10th round of the Primera División, two teams closely matched in the standings, Alianza Lima and Comerciantes Unidos, will lock horns in what promises to be a gripping encounter. With Alianza Lima currently positioned 6th on the table with 12 points and Comerciantes Unidos snapping at their heels in 8th place with 11 points, there’s a lot riding on this fixture.

Alianza Lima, helmed by Néstor Gorosito, will look to leverage their strong home form having scored in 77% of their matches at home this season. Hernán Barcos, their top scorer, will be crucial in their attacking play.

On the other side, Comerciantes Unidos, under the guidance of Claudio Biaggio, come into this fixture in fine form with their top scorer Matías Sen spearheading their attack with 11 goals this season. Their defensive discipline and counter-attacking prowess can’t be underestimated.

In terms of betting, a recommended bet would be Comerciantes Unidos +1.75 (AH) as they have shown the potential to keep matches close with their solid defensive setup and ability to score on the counter.

Expect a tight and strategic match with both teams aiming to climb the standings.

Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction & Betting Tip

Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Comerciantes Unidos +1.75 (AH)	1.90

Alianza Lima enters as the dominant side, boasting strong attacking options and solid home form. Comerciantes Unidos, however, have shown competitiveness and an ability to keep games closer than expected, even against stronger opponents.

With the Asian Handicap +1.75, Comerciantes Unidos have room to lose by one goal and still win, or even by two and only lose half the stake. Given their defensive discipline and counter-attacking potential, this handicap provides a valuable cushion against a powerful but sometimes wasteful Alianza.

• Alianza Lima’s strong home form is counterbalanced by Comerciantes Unidos’ defensive discipline.
• Comerciantes Unidos have successfully contained tougher opponents, making the +1.75 AH attractive.
• The flexibility of the AH provides a safety net, minimizing potential losses.

Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos Odds

Heading into the match, Alianza Lima is the favourite, with bookmakers giving them the edge due to their strong home form and consistent goal-scoring ability. Comerciantes Unidos, however, are not to be underestimated and have shown potential for surprising results. The odds reflect this dynamic and promise an interesting betting landscape.

Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Alianza Lima	1.24
Draw	5.40
Comerciantes Unidos	9.97

The odds for an Alianza Lima victory are quite low, reflecting their dominance at home. A draw or a win for Comerciantes Unidos sits at higher odds, underlining their underdog status. Given the noticeable difference in odds, bettors might find value in alternative bets, such as the Asian Handicap.

These odds suggest a potentially close contest with opportunities for informed betting choices. Consider the suggested bet of Comerciantes Unidos +1.75 (AH) for a balanced risk-reward scenario.

Alianza Lima Team Analysis

Alianza Lima Recent Performance

Alianza Lima’s recent form has been a mixed bag, showcasing their potential but also highlighting some inconsistencies. Their last five matches include:

• Alianza Lima 0 – 0 Universidad de Chile (Copa Sudamericana Final Stage)
• Alianza Lima 3 – 4 Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División Clausura)
• Universitario de Deportes 0 – 0 Alianza Lima (Primera División Clausura)
• Universidad Católica 1 – 2 Alianza Lima (Copa Sudamericana Final Stage)
• Alianza Lima 3 – 1 Asociación Deportiva Tarma (Primera División Clausura)

Recent Form: WWDLD

Alianza Lima has managed to score an average of 1.60 goals in their last five games, showing their attacking capability. Their defense has also been solid at home, with 2 clean sheets in their recent matches. This balance between attack and defense will be crucial as they aim to climb higher in the standings.

Alianza Lima Key Players

Alianza Lima will rely heavily on their key players to make a significant impact in this match. Hernán Barcos, who is the team’s top scorer with 2 goals, will be crucial in breaking down Comerciantes Unidos’ solid defense. His experience and clinical finishing could be the game-changer.

In the midfield, Fernando Gaibor and Sergio Peña will be key in controlling the game and creating opportunities. Gaibor, known for his vision and passing accuracy, will aim to unlock the opposition’s defense.

Defensively, Carlos Zambrano and Miguel Trauco bring a wealth of experience and will be tasked with keeping Comerciantes Unidos’ top scorer Matías Sen at bay.

Expected lineup for Alianza Lima:

• Goalkeeper: Guillermo Viscarra
• Defenders: Guillermo Enrique, Gianfranco Chávez, Jean Pierre Archimbaud, Miguel Trauco
• Midfielders: Fernando Gaibor, Pedro Aquino, Sergio Peña
• Forwards: Alan Cantero, Hernán Barcos, Eryc Castillo

This blend of experienced players and youthful talent could provide the balance Alianza Lima needs to secure a win.

Alianza Lima Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Lima faces a couple of notable absences due to injuries ahead of their match against Comerciantes Unidos. Pablo Lavandeira is sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury and is expected to return in late December 2025. His absence will be felt in midfield, as his ability to drive the team forward and his passing range will be missed.

Additionally, Juan Delgado is out with a broken nose, and his return date is currently unknown. While Delgado’s absence is less significant compared to Lavandeira, it still reduces Néstor Gorosito’s options, especially in defensive and midfield rotations.

On the brighter side, Alianza Lima has no suspensions to worry about, allowing Gorosito to field a strong lineup despite these injuries. The team will need other players to step up in their place to maintain their competitive edge.

Alianza Lima Tactics and Formation

Alianza Lima Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Hernán Barcos
• Midfield Trio: Fernando Gaibor, Pedro Aquino, Sergio Peña
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Likely to leverage strong attacking phases, considering they have scored in 77% of home matches.

Under Néstor Gorosito, Alianza Lima is expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation. This setup provides a balanced approach, emphasizing both defensive solidity and attacking ingenuity. Hernán Barcos spearheads the attack, supported by wingers Alan Cantero and Eryc Castillo.

In the midfield, Fernando Gaibor, Pedro Aquino, and Sergio Peña will look to control possession and create scoring opportunities. Defensively, the experience of players like Carlos Zambrano will be crucial in shutting down Comerciantes Unidos’ counter-attacks.

This formation allows Alianza Lima to be adaptive, enabling both defensive stability and offensive pressure, particularly during key intervals within the match.

Comerciantes Unidos Team Analysis

Comerciantes Unidos Recent Performance

Comerciantes Unidos have been in impressive form lately, registering three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. This consistency has played a crucial role in their climb to 8th place in the Primera División standings. Their recent results include:

• Comerciantes Unidos 2 – 0 Sport Huancayo
• Sport Boys 0 – 1 Comerciantes Unidos
• Comerciantes Unidos 1 – 2 Alianza Universidad
• Atlético Grau 1 – 2 Comerciantes Unidos
• Comerciantes Unidos 1 – 1 Cienciano

Recent Form: DWLWW

The team has averaged 1.40 goals per game while maintaining defensive solidity with two clean sheets in their last five matches. This balanced approach has helped them remain competitive, setting the stage for a tightly contested match against Alianza Lima.

Comerciantes Unidos Key Players

Comerciantes Unidos will rely heavily on their standout players to make an impact against Alianza Lima. Matías Sen, their top scorer with 11 goals this season, will be the focal point of their attack. His scoring record suggests that he can convert even the half-chances, posing a constant threat to Alianza’s defense.

In midfield, Keyvin Paico will play a crucial role in linking defense with attack and breaking down Alianza Lima’s plays. His defensive duties will be complemented by José Marina, who has shown aptitude both defensively and offensively.

The defense will be anchored by Nahuel Tecilla, who alongside Yordi Vílchez, will look to neutralize Alianza Lima’s threats, especially from Hernán Barcos.

Expected lineup for Comerciantes Unidos:

• Goalkeeper: Álvaro Villete
• Defenders: Rotceh Aguilar, Yordi Vílchez, Nahuel Tecilla
• Midfielders: Keyvin Paico, Pablo Cárdenas, Paolo Méndez, José Marina, Julián Marchioni
• Forwards: Matías Sen, Alexander Lecaros

This lineup merges defensive solidity and offensive prowess, providing a balanced approach against a formidable opponent.

Comerciantes Unidos Suspensions & Injuries

Comerciantes Unidos head into their upcoming match against Alianza Lima with a clean bill of health. There are no reported injuries or suspensions affecting the team, which is excellent news for coach Claudio Biaggio.

The full squad available will allow Biaggio to deploy his preferred lineup and tactics without any enforced changes. This could be crucial in maintaining their recent good form and executing their game plan effectively against a strong opponent like Alianza Lima.

Having all key players fit and available can enhance their chances of obtaining a positive result, making the fixture even more interesting.

Comerciantes Unidos Tactics and Formation

Comerciantes Unidos Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-1-4-2
• Key Forward: Matías Sen
• Midfield Anchors: Keyvin Paico, Pablo Cárdenas
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Most goals scored in the 31-45 and 61-75-minute intervals.

Under Claudio Biaggio, Comerciantes Unidos are expected to employ a 3-1-4-2 formation. This setup provides a solid defensive backbone with three central defenders complemented by a holding midfielder in Keyvin Paico, who will protect the backline and break up Alianza Lima’s attacks.

The midfield featuring Pablo Cárdenas and José Marina aims to control the game tempo and supply balls to the attacking duo of Matías Sen and Alexander Lecaros. Sen, in particular, could exploit any defensive lapses with his goal-scoring prowess.

This tactical approach emphasizes defensive discipline while leveraging quick transitions and counter-attacks to catch opponents off guard. The team’s organized structure and strategic use of critical match intervals make them a challenging opponent.

Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last five encounters, Alianza Lima has generally had the upper hand over Comerciantes Unidos. The most recent match on 19 June 2025 saw Alianza clinching a narrow 1-0 victory.

Here’s a rundown of their recent head-to-head performances:

• 2025-06-19: Comerciantes Unidos 0 – 1 Alianza Lima (Liga 1 Apertura)
• 2024-08-03: Comerciantes Unidos 1 – 3 Alianza Lima (Liga 1 Clausura)
• 2024-02-25: Alianza Lima 5 – 1 Comerciantes Unidos (Liga 1 Apertura)
• 2018-10-04: Comerciantes Unidos 1 – 0 Alianza Lima (Primera División Clausura)
• 2018-07-22: Alianza Lima 5 – 1 Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División Apertura)

Overall, Alianza Lima has won four of these five matches convincingly, with Comerciantes Unidos securing just one win. This record indicates a historical dominance by Alianza Lima, especially in home games where they’ve shown exceptional scoring prowess and defensive solidity. Comerciantes Unidos will need to break this pattern to secure a positive result.

Odds accurate as of 20.09.2025 02:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.