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Augsburg vs. Union Berlin Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 17 May 2025

Augsburg vs. Union Berlin Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 17 May 2025

Augsburg-Union Berlin
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Augsburg1 - 2Union Berlin

Augsburg will host Union Berlin at the WWK Arena on 17 May 2025 for the final round of the Bundesliga season. Both teams are safely mid-table, with Augsburg sitting in 11th place on 43 points, while Union Berlin is just below in 13th position with 37 points.

Augsburg, the bookmaker’s favorite with odds of 2.06 for a win, has struggled recently, winning only once in their last five matches. Robert Gumny, set to leave the club after a challenging season, will be eager to end on a high note.

Union Berlin comes into this game having not won in their last five, yet they remain unbeaten in four consecutive away matches, making a draw a likely outcome. Our recommendation is to bet on a draw due to the current form of both teams.

Expect an interesting clash despite the lack of stakes, as each side aims to close their season on a positive note.

Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction & Betting Tip

Our recommended betting tip for this match is to place a bet on a draw. Both teams have shown inconsistency in their recent performances, with Augsburg losing their last three matches and Union Berlin drawing four of their last five. Despite their struggles, Union Berlin has managed not to lose in their last four consecutive away games, which adds to the likelihood of a balanced match. Based on the current form and historical data, a draw seems to be the most plausible outcome.

Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Draw 3.50
  • Augsburg’s recent form: The home team has lost their last three matches, making a win seem less likely.
  • Union Berlin’s unbeaten away streak: Union Berlin has not lost in their last four away games.
  • Overall inconsistency: Both teams have showcased erratic performances, making a draw a reasonable prediction.

Augsburg vs Union Berlin Odds

The bookmaker odds provide an interesting perspective on this final round Bundesliga clash. Augsburg, the slight favourite, is expected to come out on top with average odds of 2.06. A draw is also on the cards, carrying odds of 3.50, while an away victory for Union Berlin is priced closely at 3.45.

Augsburg vs Union Berlin Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Augsburg 2.06
Draw 3.50
Union Berlin 3.45

These odds suggest a well-contested match where the outcome is still largely up for grabs. Given the recent form and standings of both teams, betting on a draw could offer good value. Both squads have shown inconsistency, and with little at stake, a balanced match is a likely scenario.

Augsburg Team Analysis

Augsburg Recent Performance

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
VfB Stuttgart Augsburg 2025-05-11 Bundesliga 4-0 (Loss)
Augsburg Holstein Kiel 2025-05-04 Bundesliga 1-3 (Loss)
Bayer Leverkusen Augsburg 2025-04-26 Bundesliga 2-0 (Loss)
Augsburg Eintracht Frankfurt 2025-04-20 Bundesliga 0-0 (Draw)
Bochum Augsburg 2025-04-12 Bundesliga 1-2 (Win)

Augsburg’s recent form has been rather shaky, summarized by a last five results record of LLLDW. Over these matches, they have managed just a single win against Bochum, alongside a draw with Eintracht Frankfurt and three losses. Their scoring average has been a modest 0.60 goals per game in the last five fixtures, further highlighting their struggles upfront. Defensively, they’ve kept just one clean sheet in this period.

With this inconsistent performance, the team must address both attacking and defensive vulnerabilities as they prepare to face Union Berlin.

Augsburg Key Players

Augsburg’s key players start with top scorer Alexis Claude Maurice, who has bagged 9 goals this season. His attacking prowess will be crucial, especially given Augsburg’s recent lack of goals, averaging just 0.60 per game in their last five outings. Another important player is Mert Komur, who will aim to provide the creative spark in midfield.
Robert Gumny, despite his injury struggles, will be looking to make an impact in what could be one of his final appearances for the club.
Key battles on the pitch will feature Phillip Tietz going up against Union Berlin’s central defenders, as well as Alexis Claude Maurice attempting to break through the opposition’s midfield lines.

Expected lineup for Augsburg:

  • Goalkeeper: Finn Dahmen
  • Defenders: Chrislain Matsima, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Cedric Zesiger
  • Midfielders: Marius Wolf, Frank Onyeka, Kristijan Jakic, Dimitrios Giannoulis, Mert Komur
  • Attackers: Alexis Claude Maurice, Phillip Tietz

Augsburg Suspensions & Injuries

Augsburg faces some significant challenges concerning suspensions and injuries, which could impact their performance in the upcoming match.

Player Suspension Expected Return
Samuel Essende Red card 2 matches
Player Injury Expected Return
Reece Oxford COVID-19 Unknown
Yusuf Kabadayi Knee surgery Late May 2025
Noahkai Banks Hip injury Late May 2025
Mërgim Berisha Muscle injury Late May 2025

The absence of these key players will undoubtedly hamper Augsburg’s options. The suspension of Samuel Essende, their primary forward, leaves a significant gap in their attacking lineup, putting more pressure on Phillip Tietz to deliver. Injuries to crucial players like Reece Oxford and Yusuf Kabadayi further deplete their defensive and midfield options.

These absences might force Augsburg to rely on some of their less experienced players, which could impact the overall team cohesion and performance.

Augsburg Tactics and Formation

Augsburg Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-4-2-1
  • Key Forward: Phillip Tietz (replacing the suspended Samuel Essende)
  • Midfield Duo: Frank Onyeka, Kristijan Jakic
  • Defensive Line: Chrislain Matsima, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Cedric Zesiger
  • Wing Presence: Marius Wolf, Dimitrios Giannoulis
  • Creative Force: Alexis Claude Maurice

Coach Jess Thorup tends to prioritize a compact defensive structure with three at the back, ensuring solid protection for Finn Dahmen in goal.
In the midfield, Onyeka and Jakic are tasked with breaking opposition play and transitioning to attack, while Wolf and Giannoulis provide width and crossing options.
Maurice’s creativity will be crucial in breaking Union Berlin’s lines and supplying Tietz upfront.
With injuries and suspensions, Augsburg may rely on less experienced players, potentially affecting team cohesion.

Union Berlin Team Analysis

Union Berlin Recent Performance

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Union Berlin FC Heidenheim 2025-05-10 Bundesliga 0-3 (Loss)
Union Berlin Werder Bremen 2025-05-03 Bundesliga 2-2 (Draw)
Bochum Union Berlin 2025-04-27 Bundesliga 1-1 (Draw)
Union Berlin VfB Stuttgart 2025-04-19 Bundesliga 4-4 (Draw)
Bayer Leverkusen Union Berlin 2025-04-12 Bundesliga 0-0 (Draw)

Union Berlin is currently experiencing a wave of mixed results, standing 13th in the Bundesliga table with 37 points. Their recent form—4 draws and a loss—shows inconsistency, yet they remain unbeaten in their last 4 away games.

With an average of 1.40 goals scored per game in their last 5 matches and only 1 clean sheet, their attacking prowess has been somewhat productive, though their defense has shown vulnerabilities. Key forward Benedict Hollerbach leads the scoring charts with 9 goals, and his form will be pivotal.

Their midfield, marshalled by Rani Khedira, must work tirelessly to break down Augsburg’s defenses while ensuring they are not caught on the counter. Union Berlin will need a robust approach to end their winless streak.

Union Berlin Key Players

Union Berlin’s key player to watch for in this clash is undoubtedly Benedict Hollerbach, the team’s top scorer this season with 9 goals. His goal-scoring ability could be crucial as Union Berlin seeks to end their winless streak.

Rani Khedira, marshalling the midfield, will be pivotal in connecting play and disrupting Augsburg’s advances. His performance could shape the midfield battle.

Expected lineup for Union Berlin:

  • Goalkeeper: Frederik Rønnow
  • Defenders: Danilho Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Kevin Vogt
  • Midfielders: Christopher Trimmel, Laszlo Benes, Rani Khedira, Janik Haberer, Tom Rothe
  • Attackers: Benedict Hollerbach, Tim Skarke

Key battles to watch include Hollerbach against Augsburg’s central defender Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, and Khedira against Augsburg’s Kristijan Jakic in the midfield. These in-game duels could define the match’s outcome.

Union Berlin Suspensions & Injuries

Union Berlin is facing several injury concerns ahead of their match against Augsburg. These injuries could potentially disrupt their game plan and limit their options.

Player Injury Expected return
Aljoscha Kemlein Foot injury Out for season
Robert Skov Calf injury Late May 2025
Woo-Yeong Jeong Ligament injury Early June 2025
Jerome Roussillon Muscle injury About a week
Diogo Leite Neck injury Late May 2025
Andrej Ilic Unknown About 1-2 weeks

These injury absences could severely impact Union Berlin’s performance, especially in defense and midfield. Their bench depth will be tested as they attempt to navigate through this game.

With key players like Aljoscha Kemlein and Andrej Ilic out, the burden will fall on other squad members to step up. This situation might also affect Steffen Baumgart’s tactical flexibility during the match.

Union Berlin Tactics and Formation

Union Berlin Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-4-1-2
  • Expected Line-up:
  • Goalkeeper: Frederik Rønnow
  • Right Centre-Back: Danilho Doekhi
  • Centre-Back: Leopold Querfeld
  • Left Centre-Back: Kevin Vogt
  • Right Midfielder: Christopher Trimmel
  • Right Central Midfielder: Laszlo Benes
  • Central Midfielder: Rani Khedira
  • Left Central Midfielder: Janik Haberer
  • Left Midfielder: Tom Rothe
  • Right Forward: Benedict Hollerbach
  • Left Forward: Tim Skarke

Union Berlin have opted for a robust 3-4-1-2 formation under Steffen Baumgart. The back three of Doekhi, Querfeld, and Vogt provide a solid defensive base.
In midfield, the presence of seasoned players like Trimmel and Khedira offers both defensive coverage and creative outlets.
Despite key injuries, their ability to deploy attacking midfielders like Benes and Haberer could be crucial for transitions, while Hollerbach and Skarke spearhead the attack aiming to exploit any gaps in Augsburg’s defense.
This tactical setup aims to utilize wing-backs for width and balanced plays through the middle to create scoring opportunities.

Augsburg vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head Statistics

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Union Berlin Augsburg 2025-01-15 Bundesliga 0-2 (Loss)
Augsburg Union Berlin 2024-04-12 Bundesliga 2-0 (Win)
Union Berlin Augsburg 2023-11-25 Bundesliga 1-1 (Draw)
Augsburg Union Berlin 2023-05-06 Bundesliga 1-0 (Win)
Union Berlin Augsburg 2023-01-07 Friendlies 4-1 (Win)

In recent meetings, Augsburg has had a slight edge over Union Berlin, winning three out of their last five encounters in the Bundesliga. The reverse fixture earlier this season saw Augsburg claim a solid 2-0 victory away from home.

As the season reaches its conclusion, both teams will be looking to finish on a high, and their head-to-head history hints at an intriguing matchup. However, given the current form and injuries, expecting another closely contested match would not be far-fetched.

Odds accurate as of 15.05.2025 14:32, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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