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Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 11 May 2025

Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 11 May 2025

Bayer Leverkusen-Borussia Dortmund
Fulltime
Bayer Leverkusen2 - 4Borussia Dortmund

This weekend’s Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund at the BayArena promises to be thrilling. Leverkusen, currently in 2nd place with 68 points, have secured their Champions League spot, thanks in part to the tactical acumen of their outgoing coach Xabi Alonso. On the other hand, 5th-placed Dortmund, with 51 points, are fighting hard for a Champions League berth.

Dortmund’s recent form has been formidable, averaging 3 goals per game in their last five matches and boasting an unbeaten streak of four wins and a draw. Leverkusen, under the guidance of Alonso, have also shown strong defensive resilience with three clean sheets in their last five outings.

Given Dortmund’s high stakes and their impressive scoring record, our recommended bet is for Dortmund to win with a Draw No Bet option. With stars like Serhou Guirassy and Patrik Schick, both having netted 19 goals this season, expect an electrifying encounter. Kickoff is set for 14:30 on 11 May 2025.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tip

Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Borussia Dortmund to win – Draw No Bet 2.37
  • Dortmund has scored the most goals in the 61-75 minute interval this season.
  • Both teams’ top scorers, Serhou Guirassy and Patrik Schick, have each netted 19 goals.
  • Leverkusen has displayed defensive resilience but less scoring capability recently.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Odds

Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Bayer Leverkusen 2.64
Draw 3.87
Borussia Dortmund 2.37

Borussia Dortmund is the bookmaker’s favourite for this clash at BayArena. Dortmund’s motivation is sky-high, driven by their pursuit of a Champions League spot. Leverkusen, already secure in their position, might approach the game with slightly less urgency, making Dortmund a compelling bet. Given their scoring prowess and recent form, backing Dortmund with a “Draw No Bet” seems a wise choice for punters.

Bayer Leverkusen Team Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen Recent Performance

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Freiburg Bayer Leverkusen 2025-05-04 Bundesliga 2-2 (Draw)
Bayer Leverkusen Augsburg 2025-04-26 Bundesliga 2-0 (Win)
St. Pauli Bayer Leverkusen 2025-04-20 Bundesliga 1-1 (Draw)
Bayer Leverkusen Union Berlin 2025-04-12 Bundesliga 0-0 (Draw)
FC Heidenheim Bayer Leverkusen 2025-04-05 Bundesliga 0-1 (Win)

Leverkusen has been solid, boasting a recent form of DWDDW. In their last five outings, they’ve secured two wins and three draws. The team’s defensive efforts are commendable, with three clean sheets out of the last five games. Offensively, they’ve averaged 1.20 goals per match during this period but will need more firepower against a high-scoring Dortmund.

With Bayer Leverkusen already second in the league with 68 points, they might not feel the same urgency as their adversaries. Key injuries could also affect their performance, but they maintain a robust squad under the guidance of Xabi Alonso.

Bayer Leverkusen Key Players

Bayer Leverkusen has a formidable lineup under Xabi Alonso, with several key players who can make a difference on the pitch.

  • Patrik Schick, their top scorer with 19 goals, will be crucial in leading the attack. His performance against Borussia Dortmund’s defense, led by Niklas Süle and Waldemar Anton, could be pivotal.
  • Florian Wirtz, a highly sought-after playmaker, provides creativity and vision in the midfield. His ability to break down defenses could be vital against a Dortmund side that tends to concede goals.
  • Jonathan Tah, with his upcoming free agent status, will be looking to assert his dominance in defense, partnering alongside Edmond Tapsoba and Piero Hincapié.

Expected lineup for Bayer Leverkusen:

  • Goalkeeper: Matěj Kovář
  • Defenders: Edmond Tapsoba, Jonathan Tah, Piero Hincapié
  • Midfielders: Jeremie Frimpong, Granit Xhaka, Aleix García, Alejandro Grimaldo
  • Attackers: Florian Wirtz, Emiliano Buendía, Patrik Schick

Bayer Leverkusen Suspensions & Injuries

Bayer Leverkusen faces several injury challenges heading into their crucial Bundesliga clash against Borussia Dortmund. Below is the list of injured players:

Player Injury Expected return
Jeanuel Belocian Cruciate ligament injury Mid September 2025
Martin Terrier Achilles tendon injury Out for season
Mario Hermoso Tendon injury Out for season
Nordi Mukiele Calf injury Late May 2025
Alejo Sarco Hamstring injury Late May 2025

These injuries could impact Leverkusen’s defensive stability and midfield options. The absences of key defenders like Jeanuel Belocian and Mario Hermoso add pressure on Jonathan Tah and his partners in the backline.

Nordi Mukiele, if not recovered in time, will be a significant loss in defensive depth, while Martin Terrier’s extended absence removes an attacking option for Xabi Alonso. Nonetheless, the team’s resilience will be crucial in managing these gaps.

Bayer Leverkusen Tactics and Formation

Bayer Leverkusen Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-4-2-1
  • Key Forward: Patrik Schick
  • Midfield Setup:
    • Right midfielder: Jeremie Frimpong
    • Right central midfielder: Granit Xhaka
    • Left central midfielder: Aleix Garcia
    • Left midfielder: Alejandro Grimaldo
  • Defensive Trio:
    • Right center back: Edmond Tapsoba
    • Central back: Jonathan Tah
    • Left center back: Piero Hincapie
  • Goalkeeper: Matej Kovar

Key Strategies:

  • Offensive Play: Utilizing Schick’s positioning and Wirtz’s creativity to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
  • Defensive Resilience: Emphasis on structured backline play, evidenced by three clean sheets in the last five games.

Leverkusen’s robust formation sees their wing-backs offering width, while Wirtz and Buendia provide the crucial attacking impetus behind Schick. The midfield’s balance and defensive organization will be critical against Dortmund’s formidable offense.

Borussia Dortmund Team Analysis

Borussia Dortmund Recent Performance

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Borussia Dortmund Wolfsburg 2025-05-03 Bundesliga 4-0 (Win)
Hoffenheim Borussia Dortmund 2025-04-26 Bundesliga 2-3 (Win)
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Moenchengladbach 2025-04-20 Bundesliga 3-2 (Win)
Borussia Dortmund Barcelona 2025-04-15 Champions League 3-1 (Win)
Bayern Munich Borussia Dortmund 2025-04-12 Bundesliga 2-2 (Draw)

Borussia Dortmund is on a remarkable run of form, having secured four wins and a draw in their last five outings. Their performances have been highlighted by their remarkable goal-scoring ability, averaging 3 goals per game during this period.

In defense, they’ve managed just one clean sheet, indicating some vulnerability at the back despite their offensive prowess. This run includes crucial wins against high-calibre teams like Wolfsburg and a European triumph against Barcelona.

With their Champions League aspirations driving their motivation, expect a strong showing from Dortmund in this fixture.

Borussia Dortmund Key Players

Expected lineup for Borussia Dortmund:

  • Goalkeeper: Gregor Kobel
  • Defenders: Niklas Süle, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini
  • Midfielders: Julian Ryerson, Felix Nmecha, Pascal Groß, Daniel Svensson, Julian Brandt, Karim Adeyemi
  • Forward: Serhou Guirassy

Borussia Dortmund has several key players who could make a significant impact in this matchup against Bayer Leverkusen. Leading the line is Serhou Guirassy, the team’s top scorer with 19 goals this season. His battle against Leverkusen’s strong defenders like Edmond Tapsoba and Jonathan Tah will be one to watch.

Julian Brandt and Karim Adeyemi provide creativity and speed on the wings, creating numerous chances for Guirassy to convert. In midfield, Pascal Groß and Felix Nmecha have been instrumental in orchestrating play, while Gregor Kobel’s shot-stopping abilities will be crucial at the back.

Borussia Dortmund Suspensions & Injuries

Player Injury Expected return
Cole Campbell Knock injury Few days
Nico Schlotterbeck Meniscus injury Early October 2025
Maximilian Beier Ankle injury Late May 2025

Borussia Dortmund have a few injury concerns heading into this crucial match against Bayer Leverkusen. Nico Schlotterbeck’s absence until early October leaves a hole in their defensive line, which could expose them to Leverkusen’s attacking threats. Cole Campbell’s knock and Maximilian Beier’s ankle injury further limit Dortmund’s options. However, with key players like Serhou Guirassy and Julian Brandt fit and firing, Dortmund still have plenty of firepower to challenge for a win.

Borussia Dortmund Tactics and Formation

Borussia Dortmund’s Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: Likely to set up in a 3-4-2-1 formation.
  • Defensive Line: The back three will consist of Niklas Süle, Waldemar Anton, and Ramy Bensebaini. Their primary task will be to absorb pressure from Bayer Leverkusen’s frontline.
  • Midfield Duo: Felix Nmecha and Pascal Groß will handle central midfield duties, aiming to control the game’s tempo. They’re supported by the wingbacks, Julian Ryerson and Daniel Svensson, who will provide width and defensive cover.
  • Attacking Midfield: Julian Brandt and Karim Adeyemi are expected to play in attacking midfield roles. They’ll operate just behind the striker, creating opportunities and pressing high up the pitch.
  • Key Forward: Serhou Guirassy, Dortmund’s top scorer with 19 goals, will spearhead the attack. His positioning and clinical finishing will be crucial.
  • Strategic Focus: Dortmund’s notable strategy includes a strong attacking presence between the 61-75 minute interval. This period has been particularly fruitful for them in terms of goal scoring.

Overall, Borussia Dortmund will rely on their dynamic midfield and potent attacking trio to secure a vital win, crucial for their Champions League aspirations.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head Statistics

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Borussia Dortmund Bayer Leverkusen 2025-01-10 Bundesliga 2-3 (Loss)
Borussia Dortmund Bayer Leverkusen 2024-04-21 Bundesliga 1-1 (Draw)
Bayer Leverkusen Borussia Dortmund 2023-12-03 Bundesliga 1-1 (Draw)
Bayer Leverkusen Borussia Dortmund 2023-01-29 Bundesliga 0-2 (Loss)
Borussia Dortmund Bayer Leverkusen 2022-08-06 Bundesliga 1-0 (Win)

These sides have experienced competitive battles over their last five meetings, with Bayer Leverkusen winning just once.
Most matches have been tightly contested, resulting in two draws and three wins that were decided by narrow margins.
This history suggests another nail-biting encounter awaits us.

Odds accurate as of 05.09.2025 14:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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