CD UT Cajamarca vs. Universitario de Deportes Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 21 September 2025

Get ready for a thrilling Primera Division clash as CD UT Cajamarca takes on Universitario de Deportes on 21 September 2025. Though CD UT Cajamarca are struggling at the bottom of the table, sitting in 18th place with only 2 points, they’re looking to turn their fortunes around. Their recent form has been disappointing, featuring no wins in their last five matches. Coach Hernán Lisi has a tough task ahead, especially with key midfielder Luis Alvarez suspended.

On the other side, Universitario de Deportes are enjoying a stellar season, occupying 2nd place with 18 points. Under the guidance of Jorge Fossati, they remain favourites with impressive recent performances, including a notable 6-0 victory in their last head-to-head. Even with a few injuries, their defensive solidity and attacking threats, like Alex Valera, make them hard to beat.

Given the statistics and recent form, an away win for Universitario is highly recommended.

CD UT Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes Prediction & Betting Tip

Best Bet Recommendation: Away Win for Universitario de Deportes

Reasoning:

1. Current Form and Standings: Universitario de Deportes is in excellent form with a record of 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, placing them 2nd in the standings. In contrast, CD UT Cajamarca is struggling, sitting at the bottom (18th) with no wins in their last 5 matches.
2. Head-to-Head Dominance: Universitario has dominated recent encounters, including a decisive 6-0 victory in their last meeting.
3. Defensive and Offensive Stats: Universitario boasts a strong defense, conceding only 2 goals in their last 5 matches (0.40 average per match), while CD UT Cajamarca has a weak attack, scoring only 3 goals in the same period (0.60 average per match).

Given these factors, an away win for Universitario de Deportes is the most probable outcome.

CD UT Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes Odds

Ahead of the upcoming match on 21 September 2025, the odds heavily favour Universitario de Deportes to secure a win against CD UT Cajamarca. With Cajamarca struggling at the bottom of the table, the bookmakers have set distinct odds reflecting their current form and standings.

Considering these odds, an away win for Universitario de Deportes appears to be the most likely outcome. Not only are Universitario in much better form, but they have also dominated recent head-to-head encounters. Given their strong defensive record and effective attack, the odds of 1.49 for an away win are quite attractive for punters.

CD UT Cajamarca Team Analysis

CD UT Cajamarca Recent Performance

In their last five matches, CD UT Cajamarca have failed to secure a victory, compiling a form of LDDLL. Their most recent game saw them lose 3-1 to Asociación Deportiva Tarma, continuing a disappointing spell. They have managed only 2 points so far, sitting at the bottom of the table in 18th place.

Recent performances highlight the struggles they’ve faced:

• Goal Scoring: Averaging just 0.60 goals per game over the last five matches, they have found it hard to break down opposition defenses.
• Defensive Woes: Only 1 clean sheet in their last 5 fixtures suggests defensive frailties.
• Key Results: A 2-2 draw with Sporting Cristal offered a glimmer of hope but overall, the lack of wins paints a bleak picture.

With top scorer Jarlin Quintero netting 4 goals so far, Cajamarca have a lot of work to do to improve their standings.

CD UT Cajamarca Key Players

CD UT Cajamarca will be relying heavily on their top scorer Jarlin Quintero, who has managed to net 4 goals this season despite the team’s overall struggles. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial if Cajamarca hope to turn their fortunes around.

Another key player in the lineup is Erinson Ramírez, who will look to provide creativity and spark from the left midfield position. However, the absence of Luis Alvarez, who is suspended due to yellow card accumulation, will be a significant blow to the team’s midfield stability.

Individually, Jarlin Quintero will be facing a tough challenge against Universitario’s strong defensive line, notably up against Williams Riveros and Anderson Santamaria, both of whom have shown immense resilience this season.

Expected lineup for CD UT Cajamarca:

• Goalkeeper: Diego Campos
• Defenders: Joshua Cantt, Piero Serra, Jose Lujan, Anthony Rosell
• Midfielders: Cristian Mejía, Leonardo de la Cruz, Andre Vasquez, Juan Vega, Erinson Ramírez
• Forward: Jarlin Quintero

CD UT Cajamarca Suspensions & Injuries

CD UT Cajamarca have a significant suspension impacting their squad. Key midfielder Luis Alvarez is suspended due to yellow card accumulation and will miss this crucial clash against Universitario de Deportes. His absence will be felt in the midfield, where his tenacity and ball-winning abilities are crucial.

In terms of injuries, Roberto Koichi Aparicio is out with a cruciate ligament injury and is not expected to return until late December 2025. This long-term absence reduces the team’s depth and options at the back.

These setbacks will make it even more challenging for Hernán Lisi’s side to secure a positive result against high-flying Universitario. The team will need other players to step up and fill these gaps if they are to stand any chance.

CD UT Cajamarca Tactics and Formation

CD UT Cajamarca’s formation for the upcoming match is anticipated to be a 4-1-4-1, focusing on defensive solidity and quick counter-attacks.

Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-1-4-1
• Key Forward: Jarlin Quintero, who has scored 4 goals this season
• Midfield Composition: Cristian Mejía as the defensive midfielder, with Andre Vasquez and Juan Vega central, and Erinson Ramírez on the left flank
• Defensive Setup: The team has one clean sheet in their last five games, indicating the need for improvement at the back
• Notable Strategy: With an average of 2.6 yellow cards per match, Cajamarca tends to play a physical game, which could disrupt Universitario’s rhythm

CD UT Cajamarca’s strategy will likely revolve around maintaining a compact shape and relying on Jarlin Quintero to capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities. With Luis Alvarez out due to suspension, the midfield may see some rotation to fill the gap.

Universitario de Deportes Team Analysis

Universitario de Deportes Recent Performance

Universitario de Deportes are in fine form as they head into this clash, compiling a record of LDDDW in their last five matches. Their recent performances indicate a strong and resilient side, capable of grinding out results both at home and away.

• Recent Results:
• FBC Melgar 1-2 Universitario de Deportes: A hard-fought away win showcased their resolve.
• Universitario de Deportes 0-0 Alianza Lima: A solid defensive performance earned them a point at home.
• Palmeiras 0-0 Universitario de Deportes: Held their own against strong opposition in the Copa Libertadores.
• Sport Huancayo 1-1 Universitario de Deportes: Snagged a crucial away point.
• Universitario de Deportes 0-4 Palmeiras: A tough defeat in Copa Libertadores showed vulnerabilities.
• Goals Scored and Conceded: They have averaged 0.60 goals per game over the last five matches but boast a strong defensive record with 2 clean sheets.

Their form highlights their ability to compete at a high level, which makes them formidable opponents for any team in the league.

Universitario de Deportes Key Players

Universitario de Deportes will be counting on several key players to maintain their excellent form. Leading the line is Alex Valera, the team’s top scorer with 3 goals this season. His ability to find space and finish will be crucial against a struggling CD UT Cajamarca defense.

Midfield maestro Martin Perez Guedes will look to control the tempo of the game, while Jesus Castillo’s defensive work ensures solidity in the middle. The defensive duo of Williams Riveros and Anderson Santamaria has been rock-solid, contributing to their clean sheets and making it difficult for opponents to score.

Expected lineup for Universitario de Deportes:

• Goalkeeper: Sebastian Britos
• Defenders: Aldo Corzo, Williams Riveros, Anderson Santamaria, Matias Di Benedetto, José Joel Carabalí
• Midfielders: Martin Perez Guedes, Jesus Castillo, Jairo Concha
• Forwards: Jairo Velez, Alex Valera

Individual battles such as Valera against Cajamarca’s Piero Serra will be fascinating to watch, potentially determining the match outcome.

Universitario de Deportes Suspensions & Injuries

Universitario de Deportes have a couple of injury concerns leading up to their match against CD UT Cajamarca. Midfielder Rodrigo Ureña is doubtful with a calf injury and may not feature in the game. Additionally, Andy Polo is sidelined with a muscle injury and is expected to return by early October 2025.

These injuries affect Universitario’s depth, particularly in the midfield, as both players are known for their work rate and ball distribution skills. However, with a strong squad depth and the recent form they’ve showcased, Jorge Fossati’s team should manage well against the lower-ranked Cajamarca.

Currently, Universitario de Deportes have no suspensions affecting their lineup, which provides a semblance of stability and continuity in their squad.

Universitario de Deportes Tactics and Formation

Universitario de Deportes are expected to line up in a solid and balanced 5-3-2 formation, which has served them well in recent matches. Their focus will be on maintaining defensive solidity while capitalizing on counter-attacking opportunities.

Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 5-3-2
• Key Forward: Alex Valera, who has scored 3 goals this season
• Midfield Trio: Martin Perez Guedes, Jesus Castillo, and Jairo Concha, providing a blend of creativity and defensive coverage
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games, highlighting their resilience at the back
• Notable Strategy: Universitario have been most vulnerable in the 61-75 minute interval, which CD UT Cajamarca might aim to exploit

Under Jorge Fossati, Universitario de Deportes will look to control the game’s tempo through possession and disciplined defence, ensuring minimal opportunities for their opponents while seeking moments of counter-attacking brilliance, primarily through the efforts of Valera and Velez.

CD UT Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes Head-to-Head Statistics

Over the last five encounters between CD UT Cajamarca and Universitario de Deportes, the latter has shown clear dominance.

• Previous Results:
• 2025-04-27 (Liga 1 Apertura): Universitario de Deportes 6 – 0 CD UT Cajamarca
• 2024-08-05 (Liga 1 Clausura): Universitario de Deportes 1 – 0 CD UT Cajamarca
• 2024-02-24 (Liga 1 Apertura): CD UT Cajamarca 0 – 0 Universitario de Deportes
• 2023-10-03 (Liga 1 Clausura): Universitario de Deportes 3 – 0 CD UT Cajamarca
• 2023-05-28 (Liga 1 Apertura): CD UT Cajamarca 1 – 0 Universitario de Deportes
• Key Statistics:
• Universitario de Deportes has won 4 out of the last 5 matches.
• CD UT Cajamarca has only one win and one draw in these encounters.
• Universitario’s most recent victory was a decisive 6-0 win, showcasing their offensive prowess.
• 78% of the matches have seen less than 2.5 goals scored.

These statistics underscore Universitario’s formidable form against CD UT Cajamarca, suggesting that they have had the upper hand historically in these head-to-head clashes.

Odds accurate as of 19/09/2025 01:04, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.