Toulouse vs. Nantes Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 27 September 2025

The upcoming Ligue 1 clash on 27 September 2025 sees Toulouse (9th) taking on Nantes (16th) at Stadium Municipal with referee Benoit Bastien at the helm. Toulouse will look to capitalize on their home advantage and favorable bookmaker odds of 1.70, especially after a mixed run of form highlighted by a sturdy home performance against Brest. Nantes, on the other hand, has struggled desperately on the road, evidenced by their recent away losses.

The encounter holds extra significance as both teams lay their ambitions for the season. Toulouse’s Frank Magri, boasting 3 goals, will spearhead the attack, supported by a solid defensive unit that has managed two clean sheets in the last five games. Les Canaris’ Mostafa Mohamed, with just one goal, will aim to break down Toulouse’s defense, which has been inconsistent, conceding 1.8 goals on average this season.

Given Toulouse’s better form and higher consistency at home, our match prediction leans towards a win for the hosts. Recommended bet: Toulouse to win.

Toulouse vs Nantes Prediction & Betting Tip

Toulouse vs Nantes Prediction
Betting Tip	Odds
Toulouse to win	1.70

Toulouse are the favorites to win, capitalizing on their home advantage and Nantes’ poor away form. The key reasons for this prediction are:

• Home Advantage: Toulouse perform significantly better at home, highlighted by their victory against Brest earlier in the season.
• Nantes’ Away Struggles: Nantes have struggled on the road, with multiple losses, indicating a vulnerability.
• Consistent Scoring: Toulouse show a more consistent attacking and defensive performance, especially in home games.

Given these factors, it seems logical to back Toulouse to secure a win.

Toulouse vs Nantes Odds

As the bookmaker favorite, Toulouse are given shorter odds of 1.70 to triumph in this Ligue 1 contest. The home side’s solid performance at Stadium Municipal, despite recent mixed form, has made them the frontrunner against a struggling Nantes team. The draw is priced at 3.62, while an away win for Nantes is the least expected outcome, coming in at 5.08.

Toulouse vs Nantes Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Toulouse	1.70
Draw	3.62
Nantes	5.08

The odds reflect Toulouse’s home advantage and Nantes’ poor away form, with Toulouse being a more consistent side, particularly in front of their own fans. With these betting odds, a Toulouse win appears to be a well-backed outcome.

Toulouse Team Analysis

Toulouse Recent Performance

Toulouse have had a mixed start to the season as reflected in their recent run of form: consecutive wins over Nice and Brest were followed by three straight losses to Paris Saint-Germain, Lille, and Auxerre. This inconsistency has positioned them 9th in the table with 6 points from 5 matches.

Despite the setbacks, Toulouse’s attack remains relatively potent, averaging 1.40 goals per game in their last five matches. Their defensive efforts have also shown flashes of solidity, with two clean sheets in that spell. The team’s resilience and ability to grind out results at home, such as the solid 2-0 win over Brest, could play a crucial role in their efforts to climb the standings.

These factors along with their home advantage and key performances from top scorer Frank Magri make Toulouse a formidable side, especially when playing at Stadium Municipal.

Toulouse Key Players

Frank Magri stands out as Toulouse’s key player, leading as the top scorer with 3 goals this season. His adept positioning and finishing skills make him a constant threat to any defense.

In midfield, Cristhian Cásseres Jr. and Abu Francis play crucial support roles, providing both defensive solidity and linking play effectively. Cásseres’ ability to break up opponents’ attacks while transitioning into offense will be vital in this encounter.

On the defensive end, Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell, and Rasmus Nicolaisen form a dependable backline. They must stay alert, especially to contain Nantes’ main attacking threat, Mostafa Mohamed.

Expected lineup for Toulouse:

• Goalkeeper: Guillaume Restes
• Defenders: Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell, Rasmus Nicolaisen
• Midfielders: Djibril Sidibe, Cristhian Cásseres Jr., Abu Francis, Dayann Methalie
• Attackers: Aron Dönnum, Frank Magri, Yann Gboho

Toulouse Suspensions & Injuries

Toulouse’s squad will be without Alexis Vossah, who is serving a suspension for a red card, and key players Niklas Schmidt and Rafik Messali due to injuries.

Schmidt, recovering from a cruciate ligament injury, and Messali, sidelined with an ankle injury, are expected to return in October 2025. Their absence, especially that of Schmidt in midfield, limits the creative options for Toulouse.

Vossah’s suspension will also force Carles Martínez to adjust his defensive setup. However, the squad’s depth and strong home performances should help mitigate these absences against Nantes.

Toulouse Tactics and Formation

Toulouse Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-3
• Key Forward: Frank Magri (3 goals)
• Midfield Dynamic: Cristhian Cásseres Jr. and Abu Francis are pivotal in transition, offering both defensive coverage and offensive support.
• Defensive Strength: The backline of Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell, and Rasmus Nicolaisen has secured two clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Toulouse tend to score more frequently in the mid-phase of the match. They exhibit strong pressing tactics and often dominate ball possession during the middle of the game.

This tactical setup enables fluid transitions and solid goal-scoring opportunities, making Toulouse a balanced team both defensively and in attack. Their ability to adjust and control the game tempo often sustains their home advantage.

Nantes Team Analysis

Nantes Recent Performance

Nantes have had a tough start to the season, with just one win to their name in the last five matches. Their recent form reads as follows: a draw against Rennes, defeats to Nice and Strasbourg, a win over Auxerre, and an earlier loss to Paris Saint-Germain. This inconsistency places them 16th in the league with only 4 points from 5 games.

The team has struggled offensively, managing an average of just 0.60 goals per game. Defensively, they’ve had one clean sheet in their last five matches, but have shown weaknesses when playing away. They’ll need to shore up these areas if they hope to improve their standing.

Their recent performance suggests they have potential but need to convert more chances to make headway in Ligue 1.

Nantes Key Players

Mostafa Mohamed will be a pivotal figure for Nantes, leading the front line as the top scorer with 1 goal. His ability to find space and convert key chances will be crucial against Toulouse’s sturdy defense.

In midfield, Johann Lepenant and Louis Leroux play essential roles in ball recovery and distribution. Lepenant’s ability to hold up play and Leroux’s forward thrust will be vital in supporting their forward line.

Defensively, Kelvin Amian and Chidozie Awaziem need to fortify Nantes’ backline, especially against the offensive threats posed by Toulouse’s Frank Magri.

Expected lineup for Nantes:

• Goalkeeper: Anthony Lopes
• Defenders: Kelvin Amian, Chidozie Awaziem, Tylel Tati, Nicolas Cozza
• Midfielders: Junior Mwanga, Johann Lepenant, Louis Leroux
• Attackers: Yassine Benhattab, Mostafa Mohamed, Matthis Abline

Nantes Suspensions & Injuries

Nantes will be missing a couple of key players for this clash. Fabien Centonze is out with a shoulder injury and expected to return in early October 2025, while Bahereba Guirassy is sidelined with a thigh injury, also targeting a return in early October.

These absences could hamper Nantes’ defensive and midfield stability, making it more challenging to cope with Toulouse’s attacking threats. Centonze’s absence is particularly significant as he provides solidity and experience at the back. Without these players, coach Luís Castro will likely need to make some tactical adjustments and rely on his squad’s depth to mitigate these losses.

Nantes Tactics and Formation

Nantes Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Mostafa Mohamed
• Midfield Trio: Junior Mwanga, Johann Lepenant, Louis Leroux
• Defensive Strength: Kelvin Amian and Chidozie Awaziem form the backbone of the defense.
• Notable Strategy: Focus on a compact defensive setup and quick counter-attacks.

Nantes have struggled offensively, averaging only 0.60 goals per game in their last five matches. They rely heavily on quick counter-attacks to catch opponents off guard, with Mohamed expected to lead the line.

Defensively, the team aims to stay compact and absorb pressure, although the absences of Fabien Centonze and Bahereba Guirassy could undermine their stability. The midfield trio of Mwanga, Lepenant, and Leroux will play crucial roles in both breaking up opposition play and launching counter-attacking opportunities.

This setup aims to maximize their strengths while mitigating the defensive vulnerabilities they’ve shown on the road.

Toulouse vs Nantes Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last five encounters, the head-to-head statistics between Toulouse and Nantes are quite evenly matched. The last time these two teams met at Stadium Municipal, the match ended in a 0-0 draw on 27 April 2025. In fact, three of their last five meetings ended in goalless draws, indicating a cautious approach from both sides.

Here’s a quick look at their last five matches:

• 27 April 2025: Nantes 0 – 0 Toulouse
• 18 August 2024: Toulouse 0 – 0 Nantes
• 11 February 2024: Toulouse 1 – 2 Nantes
• 13 August 2023: Nantes 1 – 2 Toulouse
• 14 May 2023: Toulouse 0 – 0 Nantes

These repeated low-scoring games illustrate the balanced nature of their clashes, with both teams generally struggling to break each other down. This history could influence both teams’ tactical approaches in the upcoming match, suggesting a potential for yet another closely contested game.

Odds accurate as of 25.09.2025 18:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.